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Terror Casts Shadow Over Polls in the Valley

Ravindra Ojha

The resurgence of terror attacks in Jammu & Kashmir has thrust the region back into the global spotlight, raising alarms about the deteriorating security situation and its implications for upcoming elections and annual events like the Amarnath Yatra. With recent incidents in Reasi, Kathua, and Doda districts resulting in the deaths of nine civilians and a CRPF jawan, concerns are mounting over the stability and safety of the region. The emboldened terrorist handlers from across the border seem to be executing attacks with alarming ease, complicating the task for security forces and creating an atmosphere of fear and uncertainty among the local populace.

Recent Escalations and Their Impact

The string of attacks has not only put security forces on high alert but has also sent ripples through political circles. The recent attack in Reasi, where gunmen opened fire on a private bus carrying pilgrims to the Mata Vaishno Devi shrine, was particularly significant as it coincided with the swearing-in ceremony of the new government at the Centre. This incident underscored the boldness of the attackers and the immediate need for a robust counter-terrorism strategy from the newly formed NDA 3.0 government.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s directive to deploy the ‘full spectrum of counter-terror capabilities’ and Home Minister Amit Shah’s high-level meeting to review the security situation reflect the gravity of the threat. The increasing frequency of attacks is a stark reminder of the persistent challenges in Jammu & Kashmir, posing a substantial challenge to the current administration.

Political and Social Ramifications

The encouraging turnout in the recent Lok Sabha elections in Kashmir signaled a hopeful shift, with many interpreting it as a demonstration of the local population’s faith in the democratic process. However, the recent surge in violence by terrorists and their handlers appears to be a deliberate attempt to undermine this progress. The back-to-back militant attacks have cast a long shadow over the upcoming Assembly elections and the Amarnath Yatra, crucial events that require significant security arrangements.

The Supreme Court’s directive to hold Assembly polls in the region before September adds another layer of complexity. The absence of a legislative Assembly for the past five years has left a gap in the feedback loop between the political class and the security apparatus, further complicating the situation. The Reasi attack has highlighted the need for a multifaceted approach to security in Jammu & Kashmir, one that goes beyond military solutions and incorporates political engagement and societal stability.

Amarnath Yatra and Security Concerns

The annual Amarnath Yatra, a significant pilgrimage to the cave shrine in Kashmir, is scheduled to begin on June 29 and conclude on August 19. This event, along with the upcoming Assembly elections, necessitates a substantial deployment of security forces. The threat of terror attacks during this period could strain resources and divert attention from ensuring the smooth conduct of both the pilgrimage and the elections.

In response to these challenges, the Centre has reportedly deployed an additional 500 companies of the Central Armed Police Forces to the region. The Prime Minister’s planned visit to Srinagar on International Yoga Day, June 21, further underscores the importance of maintaining a strong security presence.

Human Cost of Terrorism

The human toll of terrorism in Jammu & Kashmir cannot be overstated. In 2023 alone, 59 people were killed in the Rajouri-Poonch region, including 24 security personnel, seven civilians, and 28 terrorists. The relentless violence has left scars on the local communities, disrupting lives and livelihoods and instilling a pervasive sense of fear.

The Reasi attack, targeting innocent pilgrims, was particularly egregious. Such acts of violence not only aim to cause immediate harm but also seek to disrupt the societal and religious fabric of the region. The targeting of civilians and religious pilgrims is a tactic aimed at instilling fear and discouraging participation in significant cultural and religious events.

Multifaceted Approach to Security

Addressing the security challenges in Jammu & Kashmir requires a comprehensive approach. While military and counter-terrorism measures are essential, they must be complemented by political engagement and efforts to foster social cohesion. The absence of a local legislative Assembly has hampered the ability to address these issues effectively, underscoring the need for timely elections and political representation.

Local political leaders and community representatives play a crucial role in sensitizing the security apparatus to the unique challenges and dynamics of the region. Their involvement is vital in crafting strategies that are not only effective in countering terrorism but also in addressing the underlying social and economic issues that fuel unrest.

Role of the Central Government

The central government’s response to the recent spate of attacks will be critical in determining the future trajectory of security in Jammu & Kashmir. The deployment of additional security forces and high-level meetings to assess the situation are positive steps. However, long-term stability will require sustained efforts to engage with local communities, address their grievances, and foster a sense of unity and resilience.

The government’s strategy must be multifaceted, incorporating development initiatives, political dialogue, and robust security measures. Ensuring the safety and security of the Amarnath Yatra and the upcoming Assembly elections will be immediate priorities, but these efforts must be part of a broader, long-term vision for peace and stability in the region.

Building Resilience and Unity

In the face of ongoing terror threats, it is imperative to foster a sense of resilience and unity among the local population. Terrorism thrives on fear and division, and countering it requires a collective effort from all sections of society. Community leaders, religious figures, and political representatives must work together to promote messages of peace and solidarity.

Educational and economic initiatives can also play a role in building resilience. Providing opportunities for the youth, addressing unemployment, and promoting social and economic development can help mitigate the factors that contribute to radicalization and unrest.

The recent surge in terror attacks in Jammu & Kashmir presents a formidable challenge to the region’s security and stability. As the government gears up for the Amarnath Yatra and the upcoming Assembly elections, it must adopt a comprehensive approach that combines military, political, and social strategies. Enhancing security measures, fostering political engagement, and promoting social cohesion will be crucial in ensuring that terrorism does not derail the aspirations and hopes of the local people. The path to peace and stability in Jammu & Kashmir is complex and challenging, but with a concerted effort from all stakeholders, it is a goal that can be achieved.

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