Tuesday, February 18, 2025
Home Blog

GST in India: Impact and Challenges

0

What real relief had GST brought to the masses? While the states continued to impose their taxes

Amit Pandey

Once upon a time, in the bustling land of India, the government’s chest of treasures seemed boundless, overflowing with the wealth of taxes collected from its industrious citizens. But deep within the intricate web of financial policies, one particular taxation regime stood tall—GST (Goods and Services Tax). Lauded by the authorities as the backbone of the country’s revenue, GST was introduced with promises of a streamlined and unified tax system. Yet, for the common folk, understanding its complexities was akin to deciphering an ancient, cryptic script.

The origins of GST could be traced back to an era when the Congress proposed a regime that wouldn’t exceed 18%, fostering hope for simplicity and fairness. However, as the baton was passed to the BJP, the clause was slyly omitted, leading to contentions and debates. Critics argued that the GST, touted as the panacea for economic ills, had instead evolved into a labyrinth of complications, its intricacies as enduring as the cycle of day and night.

As the dust settled, the public found themselves grappling with more questions than answers. What real relief had GST brought to the masses? While the states continued to impose their taxes, like Bengal’s sales tax, GST excluded excise and petroleum products, leading to further confusion. The nation’s citizens felt the weight of a system that seemed to burden rather than ease.

Amidst the clamor, voices rose, questioning the very essence of GST. How had it simplified the lives of common people? Did it alleviate the pressures of daily expenses or merely add to the already substantial tax burden? With essential items like petroleum products remaining outside its purview, did GST truly offer the comprehensive solution it promised?

State governments, too, wielded their power to levy taxes—property tax, stamp duty, electricity duty, and more—adding to the intricate tapestry of fiscal responsibilities. The question echoed louder: why, despite paying more than 60% of their income in taxes, did citizens still witness a lack of significant investment in education, research, and youth employment?

As the narrative unfolded, the GST’s shortcomings became evident. The absence of relief measures and the persistence of state-specific taxes painted a picture of disarray. The common man, burdened by rising GST rates that could reach a staggering 28%, found themselves questioning the very foundations of governance. How had a tool meant to unite and simplify become a device that wrenched the public’s hard-earned money?

In the heart of the story lay the unanswered questions: Why was the original proposal’s simplicity discarded? Why did the government’s discretionary power to alter GST rates persist? And most importantly, how had a system designed to benefit the populace transformed into a convoluted ordeal?

As the tale of GST continued to unfold, the voices of the people remained steadfast, demanding clarity, fairness, and a taxation regime that genuinely served the needs of the many rather than the few. The story of GST, with its complexities and controversies, remained a chapter yet to be fully understood and resolved.

Revenue Trends and Growth

Since its inception, GST has become a pivotal component of the Indian government’s revenue system. Empirical studies have indicated that GST revenue has a positive impact on the country’s economic growth in both the short and long term. For instance, research utilizing data from August 2017 to March 2024 demonstrated that GST revenue positively influences India’s economic growth. However, despite its revenue-generating potential, there remain concerns about the structure of taxation and its impact on economic inequality.

GST collections have witnessed significant fluctuations over the years, often reflecting broader economic trends such as demonetization, the COVID-19 pandemic, and inflationary pressures. According to government data, the GST revenue in 2023-24 consistently exceeded Rs. 1.5 lakh crore per month, signaling strong compliance and economic recovery. However, revenue buoyancy has been uneven, with concerns raised about tax evasion and revenue leakages.

The revenue distribution between the Centre and states has also been a contentious issue. The GST compensation to states, initially assured for five years, ended in June 2022, leading to financial stress in several states. States such as Punjab and West Bengal have demanded an extension of compensation, arguing that GST has not entirely replaced their lost revenue streams.

One of the major concerns associated with GST has been its inflationary impact. While GST aimed to reduce the cascading effect of taxes, multiple slabs have led to price fluctuations in various sectors. Essential goods, such as milk and food grains, have been exempted, but other necessary items such as bicycles and sanitary napkins have seen higher tax rates.

Economists argue that GST has disproportionately affected lower-income households, as indirect taxes constitute a larger share of their consumption expenditure. On the other hand, businesses have experienced reduced logistical costs due to the removal of interstate tax barriers, enhancing efficiency in the supply chain.

The implementation of GST has been a subject of intense political debate. The Indian National Congress (INC), which initially proposed the GST framework, later criticized its execution under the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led government. The INC advocated for a simplified GST with a standard rate capped at 18% and the establishment of an independent dispute resolution mechanism. Senior Congress leader P. Chidambaram emphasized the need for a single-rate GST, arguing that multiple slabs defeat the purpose of simplification.

 Opposition and Critique

Several state governments, particularly those ruled by non-BJP parties, have raised concerns about the federal structure of GST. Kerala, Tamil Nadu, and West Bengal have repeatedly voiced concerns about revenue loss and central control over taxation policies. These states argue that the GST Council, dominated by the Centre, often does not accommodate regional economic disparities.

Former Prime Minister Dr. Manmohan Singh also expressed concerns about the GST’s design and implementation. He described the GST in its current form as a “fraud,” highlighting that it deviated from the original vision of a simple and unified tax structure. Dr. Singh warned that the hasty implementation could disrupt the informal economy and adversely affect small businesses.

Furthermore, the BJP government has faced criticism for making frequent modifications to GST rates. Over 400 changes have been made since its launch, leading to policy uncertainty and confusion among businesses. Critics argue that such frequent revisions indicate poor initial planning and a lack of long-term vision.

From the perspective of the common citizen, GST’s impact has been multifaceted. While the elimination of multiple taxes has simplified the tax structure, the imposition of GST on essential commodities has raised concerns about increased living costs.

Burden on Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs)

The compliance burden on small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) has been significant. The requirement for regular filings and the complexity of the tax slabs have posed challenges for businesses with limited resources, leading to calls for further simplification and support mechanisms.

Many small traders have struggled to adapt to the digital filing system required for GST. The introduction of the e-invoicing system, aimed at reducing tax evasion, has further complicated compliance for businesses with low digital literacy. Additionally, the late refund of input tax credit (ITC) has led to working capital issues, forcing many small businesses into financial distress.

Employment and Informal Sector Impact

The introduction of GST significantly disrupted India’s vast informal economy. Before GST, many small traders operated outside the formal tax net. However, the requirement to register under GST has forced businesses to either comply or shut down. This has led to job losses, particularly in sectors such as textiles, handicrafts, and small-scale manufacturing.

The textile industry, which employs millions of workers, has faced challenges due to the imposition of GST on raw materials like synthetic fiber. Similarly, the handloom and handicraft sectors have struggled to cope with taxation that did not previously exist, leading to fears about cultural and artisanal decline.

Despite the government’s efforts to increase revenue through GST and other taxes, concerns have been raised about the allocation of these funds. Critics argue that despite substantial tax collections, there has been inadequate investment in critical sectors such as research, education, and youth employment.

Growing Fiscal Deficit and Debt Burden

The GST system has failed to fully replace previous revenue streams, leading the government to rely on increased borrowing. India’s fiscal deficit remains a key concern, with public debt reaching Rs. 196 lakh crore. Economists argue that while GST has boosted revenue, the government’s expenditure on welfare schemes, infrastructure, and defense has escalated, exacerbating the fiscal deficit.

Some experts believe that GST collections should be linked directly to developmental projects, ensuring that funds are utilized efficiently. However, the lack of transparency in fund allocation has raised concerns about mismanagement and inefficiencies in public spending.

 Reforms and Way Forward

For GST to truly achieve its potential, certain reforms are necessary.

Single-Rate Structure and Rationalization

Economists and policymakers have long advocated for a single-rate GST structure to simplify compliance and enhance transparency. Countries such as Australia and Singapore have successfully implemented a uniform GST rate, reducing classification disputes and improving tax efficiency.

The GST Council has hinted at the possibility of merging the 12% and 18% slabs, but no concrete decision has been made. A more streamlined approach with a single rate for most goods and a higher rate for luxury items could improve compliance and ease the burden on businesses.

Enhanced Digital Infrastructure

While GST has increased digitization, further improvements in the GST Network (GSTN) are needed. The frequent technical glitches on the GST portal have frustrated taxpayers, leading to delays in filing returns. Upgrading the IT infrastructure and providing better digital literacy support to small businesses can enhance compliance rates.

Addressing State Concerns

A more equitable revenue-sharing model is needed to address concerns raised by states. The reintroduction of compensation or alternative revenue mechanisms should be explored to ensure that states do not bear disproportionate financial burdens.

The implementation of GST in India represents a landmark reform with the potential to unify the national market and enhance economic efficiency. However, its journey has been accompanied by challenges related to complexity, compliance, and socio-economic impacts. Continuous engagement with stakeholders, periodic reviews of tax rates, and a commitment to simplification are essential to ensure that GST realizes its foundational objectives and equitably benefits all segments of society.

( Author is Managing editor of The Emerging World)

Why AAP-ruled Delhi gives all Lok Sabha seats to BJP?

0

Manoj Kumar Pathak

In the run-up to the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, let us ponder over the electoral mood of the national capital’s voters. The Emerging World’s analysis of all the recently held pre-poll surveys suggests all seven Delhi seats would go to the BJP if elections were held today. Now the question arises, Why do Delhi seats go to the BJP despite the AAP winning the Assembly polls decisively? Why does a state that has overwhelmingly voted for the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) in two consecutive Assembly polls give all the Lok Sabha seats to the BJP? Experts say there are several factors at play.


The AAP made its debut in the 2013 Delhi election and managed to get 28 of the 70 Assembly seats. It formed a government in alliance with the Congress that didn’t last a full five-year term. In the elections of 2015 and 2020, the AAP won 67 and 62 seats, respectively.
The BJP, however, won all the seven Lok Sabha seats of Delhi in both 2014 and 2019. Despite a would-be Congress-AAP alliance, the pre-poll surveys show the BJP getting 57% of the vote share in Delhi. The AAP-Congress coalition if materializes, which would fare well in Punjab, fails to dent the BJP’s seats in Delhi.


“Punjab’s demographic composition is different from Delhi’s. It has always had an uneasy relationship with the Centre, even when the Congress party was in power in the 1970s and 80s,” Piyush Gautam, a poll analyst said. “This alliance [between the Congress and the AAP] in both Delhi and Punjab is not easy. Because in Punjab, AAP feels that they can gain these seats even without the Congress. So, you have seen the CM of Punjab making statements that we don’t need to have an alliance. And in Delhi, even if they come together, they will not be able to make any dent,” adds Gautam.


Why do two states give such different results with the same combination? One of the factors is different voting patterns in Assembly and parliamentary elections. “It’s a split vote, and it’s happening across India, across all the states. Every state, if you look into the vote share of the last assembly and the last Lok Sabha, you will see somewhere between 10% to 25% jump in favor of the BJP in Lok Sabha elections,” said Satyendra Singh, a political commentator.


There is an additional factor at work in Delhi that swings votes in favor of AAP in Assembly polls but doesn’t work for it in the Lok Sabha polls, according to political analyst Ramendra Dwivedi. “Delhi’s story is very simple. It is due to the Muslim vote that swings. In Assembly elections, Muslim votes tend to favor Arvind Kejriwal’s party, and in the Lok Sabha elections, they favor the Congress. So that is why there is a kind of mismatch,” Dwivedi said. Going by that logic, the seats of Chandni Chowk or East Delhi, where the minorities are in big numbers, could be foul areas of the Congress and the AAP. They can come together and put up a tough fight for the BJP.


However, what needs to be kept in mind is that the minority factor comes into play in Assembly elections because Assembly constituencies are smaller, and the numbers are enough to decide the fate of the seats. That isn’t the case in the Lok Sabha polls. Experts say that after the delimitation process of 2008, the entire composition of the Delhi seats has changed. In Delhi, there is not even a single Lok Sabha seat now that can be decided by voters of the minority community, according to the experts on The Emerging World.


Apart from that, the Modi factor plays an important role in the Lok Sabha election in Delhi like it does in most other places. That helps in the consolidation of votes for the BJP. The other reason could be that the people of Delhi still see the AAP as a regional party despite its efforts to grow in several states. So, multiple factors make Delhi seats go to the Aam Aadmi Party in Assembly polls but to the BJP in the Lok Sabha polls. That would even be the case if the 2024 Lok Sabha polls were held today or later on.


Another renowned political analyst Jeev Kant Jha said,’ Whether it will be a triangular fight or a direct contest with a single I.N.D.I.A candidate in each Lok Sabha seat in Delhi, the BJP is confident of maintaining its dominance over all seven Lok Sabha constituencies in the national capital for the third consecutive time.’ The party’s eagerness to maintain a 7-0 track record stems from its recent Assembly election victories and the discordant signals emerging from the rival I.N.D.I.A bloc on seat-sharing.

The AAP and the Congress are still determining the seats on which they will fight against the BJP, meaning that only one opposition candidate will face each BJP candidate. However, the buzz is that the AAP wants the Congress to fight on only two seats, while the Congress is keen on contesting at least three. If the seat-sharing talks fail, the two may be forced to go it alone on all seven seats.
BJP national vice president and Delhi unit in charge Baijayant Panda said that the BJP’s win in the recent assembly elections in Hindi heartland states has created a positive atmosphere for the party, and there should be no doubts about the results of the Lok Sabha elections.


“We are winning all seven seats in Delhi, but we will have to make efforts to increase the victory margin, for which we will have to contact the beneficiaries of the Central government schemes and talk to them,” said Panda. A source inside the I.N.D.I.A bloc said, “The contrast seen between the alliances in the recent elections raises many questions about whether it will continue till the Lok Sabha election or not.”
Psephologist Sanjay Dubey said that there is constant friction within the opposition alliance and the people who make decision for the I.N.D.I.A bloc has to take control of the alliance. Dubey added, “If they are agreeing upon it, then there should be further concrete steps. If there is a cricket team and there is no captain, who will give direction to the team?”

Stunning Jewelry Trends That Are Poised to Take Over in 2022

0
Red is Red hot now-a-days

What’s the  the chicest way to add the cherry on top of any look? Jewelry, of course! Bits, bobbles, bracelets, and earrings—there’s a lot to love about these swoon-worthy accessories. And lucky for you, we’ve been checking out all the stunning jewelry trends are going to be taking over 2022. Safe to say, you’re going to love what’s coming (trust).

From bright colors and bold statement earrings to cute and and seriously fun charms, there’s something for every jewel lover out there. 

To give you a peek, we’ve rounded up the best jewelry trends you’ll be seeing everywhere next year. 

Congress stages protest over the Pegasus row in front of Raj Bhawan

0

Ranchi: Demanding a Supreme Court-monitored judicial inquiry in the espionage case regarding hacking of phones of opposition leaders, senior military officials, election commissioners, journalists and some other dignitaries through the Israeli spyware Pegasus leaders and workers of Jharkhand Pradesh Congress Committee demonstrated in front of the Raj Bhawan on Thursday demanding the resignation of Home Minister Amit Shah.

Under the leadership of State Congress President Dr Rameshwar Oraon a small protest was held in front of the Raj Bhawan. The party had postponed the march and procession in the wake of the instructions received regarding the corona guidelines.

Addressing the event state Congress President Dr Rameshwar Oraon said that monitoring of opponents and hacking of phones by the central government through the Israeli spyware Pegasus is completely unconstitutional and illegal, it also violates the powers conferred under Article 21. Central government had encroached into ones private space, therefore the Supreme Court should take suo moto cognizance of this matter and order a judicial inquiry, he said, adding that there is talk of investigation of such immoral acts in other countries as well.

He said that this espionage work is possible only at the behest of the Prime Minister. The BJP-led central government, finding itself weak is engaged in spying on the opponents he said, adding that it was through this that work was done to break the governments in Karnataka and Madhya Pradesh whereas the Israeli government clearly says that it can be used only and only by the government to curb terrorist and criminal activities.

(EW correspondent)

India faces two choices to benefit from the China plus

0

Deep State and Soros, says BJP taking Sam Pitroada’s innocent comment on China out of context

Dr Satish Misra

Taking an innocent observation of father of Telecom revolution in India Sam Pitroda, the BJP today attacked Leader of the Opposition Rahul Gandhi saying he “works as an agent of George Soros, Deep State, and China,”   

The BJP leaders wasted no time in grabbing the political opportunity.

“Sam Pitroda’s statement makes it clear that Rahul Gandhi works as an agent of George Soros, Deep State, and China,” Pradeep Bhandari, a spokesperson for the BJP told media.

Other leaders of the BJP, joined the chorus slamming Sam Pitroda for his “China is not our enemy” remark even the Narendra Modi government’s chief economic adviser said earlier this year that Delhi should look at investment from Beijing to boost Indian exports.

“I don’t understand the threat from China. I think this issue is often blown out of proportion because the US has a tendency to define an enemy,” Pitroda, a long-time confidant of Rajiv Gandhi and the former prime minister’s family, hit the nail on the head in a conversation with the news agency IANS.

“I believe the time has come for all nations to collaborate, not confront. Our approach has been confrontational from the very beginning, and this attitude creates enemies, which in turn garners support within the country. We need to change this mindset and stop assuming that China is the enemy from day one. It’s unfair, not just to China, but to everyone.”

The BJP leaders wasted no time in grabbing the political opportunity.

“In his speech in Parliament, he mentioned China 34 times. During the Doklam issue, he was meeting the Chinese ambassador secretly. By giving a cover shield to China and eulogising the MoU that Congress had with China, Sam Pitroda has made it clear that when Rahul Gandhi would have to choose between India and China, he will choose China”, Bhandari said.

Another BJP leader, Ajay Alok, told another news agency ANI: “Sam Pitroda is the mentor of Rahul Gandhi… Rahul Gandhi has also signed a secret treaty with the People’s Liberation Party of China. Rajiv Gandhi had taken funds from China. Jawaharlal Nehru gave the Aksai Chin and India’s seat in UNSC to China. The friendship between Congress and China is quite old.”

However, in the pre-Budget Economic Survey of 2024, chief economic adviser V. Anantha Nageswaran had argued that increased Chinese FDI could help boost Indian exports to the US and other western nations, addressing India’s growing trade deficit with China.

As the US and Europe are shifting their immediate sourcing away from China, it is more effective to have Chinese companies invest in India and then export the products to these markets rather than importing from the neighbouring country, the survey said.

India faces two choices to benefit from the ‘China plus one strategy’ – it can integrate into China’s supply chain or promote FDI from China, the survey said. “Among these choices, focusing on FDI from China seems more promising for boosting India’s exports to the US, similar to how East Asian economies did in the past,” it added.

“Moreover, choosing FDI as a strategy to benefit from the China plus one approach appears more advantageous than relying on trade. This is because China is India’s top import partner, and the trade deficit with China has been growing,” it said.

The survey explained how increased FDI inflows from China can help in increasing India’s global supply chain participation along with a push to exports.

The bulk of the FDI coming into India falls under the automatic approval route, but investment from countries sharing land borders with India needs mandatory government approval in any sector.

China stands at 22nd position with only 0.37 per cent share ($2.5 billion) in total FDI equity inflow reported in India from April 2000 to March 2024.

Union finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman’s response to the idea of Chinese FDI was more measured. She had acknowledged that the Economic Survey’s office operated at an “arm’s distance” from the government.

“That doesn’t mean I disown the suggestion,” Sitharaman had said.

Relations between India and China deteriorated significantly following the Galwan Valley conflict, which left 20 Indian and four Chinese soldiers dead.

Since then, India has banned over 200 Chinese mobile apps and tightened scrutiny of Chinese investments, despite suggestions from some government advisors to reverse these policies.

Despite minimal FDI from China, China emerged as India’s largest trading partner in 2023-24, with two-way commerce reaching $118.4 billion, surpassing the US. The trade deficit with China, however, widened to $85 billion in 2023-24 from $83.2 billion the previous year.

The Economic Survey highlighted this widening trade gap and suggested that attracting Chinese capital could reduce import dependency.

Nageswaran referenced the experience of East Asian economies, noting that FDI from China could boost Indian exports to the US.

Commerce minister Piyush Goyal had dismissed the Economic Survey’s suggestion, emphasising that the survey merely presents new ideas that are not binding on the government.

This is not the first time Pitroda has put the Congress in a spot with his remarks in recent years. In the run-up to the Lok Sabha election, Prime Minister Narendra Modi had seized Pitroda’s comment on the diverse skin colours of Indians to accuse the Congress of being “racist” and of “insulting Indians”.

As Pitroda’s remarks raised a howl of protest from Modi and a host of BJP leaders, the Congress scurried for cover, promptly dissociating itself from the comments. By the evening of the same day, the party announced Pitroda’s resignation as chairman of the Indian Overseas Congress.

Before that, Pitroda’s comments on inheritance tax in the US had led Modi to accuse the Congress of planning to impose such a levy in India if they came to power.

A Crisis in Bihar’s Examination System

0

Manoj Kumar Pathak

The ongoing protests by Bihar Public Service Commission (BPSC) aspirants in Patna have thrown a spotlight on serious allegations regarding the integrity and fairness of the state’s competitive examination process. With demands for the re-examination of the 70th Preliminary Test (PT) held on December 13, 2024, and January 4, 2025, the issue has quickly evolved from a student grievance to a broader debate concerning transparency, governance, and the trust in the examination systems of Bihar. The protests have intensified following claims made by popular teacher and YouTuber Faizal Khan, also known as Khan Sir, who has emerged as a key figure leading the charge for accountability and justice in this matter.

Khan Sir, alongside thousands of students, has accused the BPSC of severe irregularities in the conduct of the exam, alleging that the question papers used for the January 4 examination were recycled from the December 13 exam. According to Khan Sir, this is not just a mere procedural error but a systemic failure that undermines the credibility of the recruitment process. “Instead of printing a new set of question papers for the examination held on January 4, 2025, BPSC used the remaining set of question papers printed for the examination held on December 13, 2024,” Khan Sir claimed in a public statement.

These allegations, if proven true, will not only damage the reputation of the BPSC but will also raise serious questions about the governance of the state and the fairness of recruitment processes that have a direct impact on the youth of Bihar.

The BPSC 70th PT examination is one of the most significant recruitment exams in the state, attracting thousands of aspirants from various districts of Bihar. The examination serves as the gateway to government jobs in Bihar, a vital avenue for employment in a state where youth unemployment has long been a pressing issue. The importance of the BPSC cannot be overstated, and any flaws in its conduct can have far-reaching consequences for both the students and the state’s development.

The protests are not just a spontaneous reaction but a reflection of years of growing discontent among students. The large turnout of aspirants in the protests indicates the depth of the crisis. As of now, numerous students have come forward with similar complaints regarding the conduct of the BPSC 70th PT. According to the Bihar Students’ Union (BSU), nearly 50,000 students appeared for the exam on December 13, and a similar number attended the January 4 exam. Out of these, a significant portion has expressed their dissatisfaction with the alleged mismanagement and irregularities, further fueling the calls for re-examination.

The demand for a re-examination is not limited to just the aspirants. A number of political figures and civil society members have lent their support to the protesters. Tejashwi Yadav, leader of the opposition in Bihar and leader of the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), has voiced his concerns about the issue, calling it “a deep conspiracy against Bihar’s youth.” Yadav’s criticism targets the ruling Janata Dal (United) – Bharatiya Janata Party (JD(U)-BJP) alliance, accusing it of ignoring the growing frustration among the youth and allowing such malpractice to occur under its nose.

The crux of the controversy lies in the allegation that the question papers for the January 4, 2025, examination were not original but were merely leftovers from the December 13, 2024, exam. This claim was made by Khan Sir, who stated that he had obtained conclusive proof of the alleged malpractice. He argues that this constitutes a major breach of trust and procedure, as the exam is supposed to maintain a high level of integrity and fairness.

While the BPSC has yet to respond comprehensively to these claims, the absence of a proper clarification from the commission has only added fuel to the fire. The aspirants, many of whom have invested years of hard work and significant financial resources to prepare for this competitive exam, are now left with a deep sense of betrayal and injustice.

Dr. Sanjay Kumar, an education expert and a professor at Patna University, explains that such incidents could have far-reaching consequences for the youth’s faith in the state’s education and recruitment system. “When the examination system is marred by allegations of rigging or mismanagement, it creates an atmosphere of distrust. Students no longer feel motivated to participate in a process they believe to be flawed. This is not just an educational issue but a governance issue, and the government must act swiftly to restore credibility.”

The Bihar government, which has faced criticism over the years for various mismanagement issues, now finds itself at the center of yet another controversy. The ruling JD(U)-BJP alliance has so far refrained from taking concrete action on the matter, which has sparked even more outrage. The protests have escalated to a point where political figures like Tejashwi Yadav have openly criticized Chief Minister Nitish Kumar and the state’s ruling coalition for their inability to address the concerns of the youth.

However, the state government’s reluctance to act decisively has triggered a response from the protesting students and their supporters, particularly Khan Sir, who has been leading the demand for a re-examination. In his public remarks, Khan Sir has made it clear that the issue is not just about one exam but about the broader implications for Bihar’s education system. “If the BPSC does not conduct a re-examination, the ruling parties will have to face the consequences. Assembly elections are approaching, and the anger of the youth will be hard to ignore,” Khan Sir warned.

This statement underscores the political dimensions of the issue. As the state heads towards assembly elections later this year, the government must be cautious about alienating the youth, who represent a significant voting bloc. The BPSC issue, compounded by the ongoing protests, is rapidly becoming a litmus test for the government’s commitment to fair and transparent recruitment processes.

This controversy is a part of a larger, more troubling pattern of governance failures in Bihar. Youth unemployment has been a long-standing issue, with reports consistently highlighting that the state has one of the highest unemployment rates in the country. According to the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE), Bihar’s unemployment rate stood at 9.2% in 2024, significantly higher than the national average of 7.4%. The state’s education and recruitment systems are seen as one of the key ways to address this issue, and any disruption or malpractice in these processes is a blow to Bihar’s future.

Moreover, the Bihar Public Service Commission has been under scrutiny for several years due to delays, irregularities, and allegations of corruption. The ongoing protests over the BPSC 70th PT examination have once again brought the commission’s credibility into question. As Bihar continues to grapple with youth unemployment, the calls for a fair, transparent, and accountable recruitment process have never been more urgent.

The BPSC 70th PT examination controversy has evolved into a significant political and governance issue. The protests led by aspirants and supported by political figures like Tejashwi Yadav, as well as social influencers like Khan Sir, have placed immense pressure on the Bihar government to act decisively. The issue is no longer just about one exam but about the state’s commitment to fair governance, transparent recruitment, and addressing the pressing concerns of its youth.

With the assembly elections on the horizon, the ruling government in Bihar faces a crucial challenge. If the issue of irregularities in the BPSC exams is not handled with the seriousness it deserves, the youth may very well make their voices heard at the ballot box. The coming months will determine not only the future of the BPSC but also the fate of the state’s political leadership in a rapidly changing and increasingly vocal society.

A Nation Shaken– India’s Recent Earthquake Surge

0

Amit Pandey

In the past week, India has experienced a series of powerful earthquakes shaking regions from Delhi and Bihar to Ladakh and even the Arabian Sea. While earthquakes are not an anomaly in a country sitting atop tectonic plates, the alarming frequency and intensity of these tremors have left citizens and experts alike questioning the stability of the land they inhabit. With each new jolt, the public’s concerns only grow deeper, especially when the tremors come with little to no warning. For many, this renewed seismic activity is not just an earth-shaking incident, but a harbinger of something far more unsettling: a question of safety, preparedness, and accountability.

As we brace ourselves for what could come next, there’s an eerie realization that we may be haunted not only by the forces of nature but also by the forces of human negligence. Scientists and seismologists have long sounded the alarm about India’s vulnerability to earthquakes, urging governments to bolster infrastructure, improve early warning systems, and enforce stronger building regulations. Unfortunately, their warnings have often fallen on deaf ears. As the tremors grow more frequent and intense, it becomes clear that the country is ill-prepared to handle the long-term consequences of such natural disasters.

What is most alarming is not the occurrence of these earthquakes but the lack of preventive measures in place to protect citizens. Infrastructure in several parts of the country remains weak, and disaster management strategies remain rudimentary, putting people’s lives at constant risk. The administrative response has been slow, leaving many to wonder: if the scientists’ warnings had been taken seriously, would we be better equipped to face these jolts? Would there be fewer casualties and less damage to property?

In contrast, other countries have been much more proactive. Japan, located on the Pacific Ring of Fire, is a prime example of how a nation can be prepared for seismic activity. With state-of-the-art early warning systems, earthquake-resistant buildings, and public education campaigns, Japan has minimized the human and infrastructural costs of earthquakes. Similarly, countries like Chile and New Zealand, both of which face significant seismic risks, have invested heavily in research and preparedness, ensuring the safety of their citizens. In India, however, political and administrative negligence remains a major hindrance, casting a shadow of uncertainty over our preparedness for the next big shake. As the tremors continue, the haunting question lingers: Are we truly ready for what lies ahead?

Understanding the Tectonic Forces at Play

India is situated on the Indian Plate, which is constantly moving northward at a rate of about 5 cm per year. This movement leads to regular interactions with neighboring plates, including the Eurasian Plate and the Burmese Plate. According to Dr. Rajesh Srivastava, a prominent seismologist, the frequent tremors in the past week are attributed to the ongoing collision between the Indian and Eurasian plates. The pressure generated by this tectonic movement, particularly in seismic Zone 4 and Zone 5 areas, leads to earthquakes when the stress overcomes the friction holding the plates together.

“The Delhi-NCR region, for example, is located atop three active fault lines—Sohna, Mathura, and Delhi-Moradabad. The region has long been at risk of earthquakes due to the geological stresses imposed by the Indian Plate’s northward movement,” explains Dr. Srivastava.

The primary scientific explanation, then, lies in the geophysical dynamics of plate tectonics. The movements along the Himalayan front, subduction zones in the northeast, and the complex fault systems of central India are contributing to the heightened seismic activity. The earthquake’s epicenter in Delhi-NCR on February 17, 2025, for instance, was located along one such fault, where the earth’s crust was under immense pressure.

Geographical experts further assert that while these earthquakes are scientifically explainable, the scale and frequency have prompted discussions on preparedness and the limitations of our current infrastructure. For instance, the tremor in Bihar’s Siwan district has highlighted the vulnerability of regions in seismic Zone 4 and Zone 5, which are often poorly equipped to handle such jolts.

Weight of the Earth and Plate Dynamics

India, situated in one of the most seismically active regions in the world, faces an ongoing risk from earthquakes. The Indian subcontinent is primarily impacted by the collision of the Indian and Eurasian tectonic plates, particularly in the Himalayan region. According to geophysical data, the Indian Plate is pushing northward at an average rate of around 5 cm per year, exerting immense pressure on the Eurasian Plate. This ongoing tectonic activity has caused frequent earthquakes in the region, with the potential for major tremors that can devastate densely populated areas.

Dr. Sushila Arora, an environmental scientist, emphasizes, “The growing weight of the Himalayan Plateau is exerting significant pressure on the surrounding areas. The shift of the Indian Plate under the Eurasian Plate is not just responsible for mountain building but also for the increased seismic activity in the region.” The constant buildup of stress along fault lines results in earthquakes. The most recent example of this seismic vulnerability was the 2001 Gujarat earthquake, which killed over 20,000 people, injured more than 167,000, and caused massive property damage.

Environmental factors, along with human activities, have intensified the seismic risk. Deforestation in the Himalayan foothills and the extraction of groundwater have reduced the natural ability of the region to absorb seismic shocks. Further, urbanization along active fault lines, particularly in the Delhi-NCR region, has exacerbated the vulnerability of major cities. The rapid growth of Delhi-NCR has often occurred with minimal regard for seismic risk. As Dr. Arora points out, the enforcement of seismic codes for construction is weak, leaving many structures ill-prepared for a large-scale earthquake.

The National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) has put in place guidelines to enhance preparedness, including enforcing seismic-resistant construction in high-risk zones and providing early-warning systems. However, the implementation of these measures remains inconsistent across the country. While India does have earthquake early warning systems in some regions, such systems are still in the nascent stages, and their reach is limited.

The threat of earthquakes in India, particularly in the Delhi-NCR region, requires pragmatic solutions. The government must not only improve enforcement of seismic construction codes but also invest in research and technology for early warning systems. Increased public awareness and careful urban planning are also vital to minimizing the damage from future seismic events.

Seismic Events and National Governance

The political response to these earthquakes has been varied. While the scientific community continues to focus on understanding the geological factors contributing to the tremors, political figures have begun to link these natural events to issues of governance and national security. Faizal Khan, popularly known as Khan Sir, voiced his concerns during a march organized by BPSC aspirants in Patna. He suggested that the increased seismic activity might be a signal of underlying environmental mismanagement by the government. “The government must take note of these events as part of a broader conversation about national preparedness and response to natural disasters. If proper policies and resources are not allocated toward mitigating earthquake risks, the consequences could be far-reaching, especially with the looming state elections,” Khan Sir remarked.

The discussion surrounding the 2025 earthquake series reveals much about India’s preparedness in handling natural disasters. Despite being a nation that experiences frequent seismic activity, much of India’s disaster management policy remains reactive rather than proactive. Many seismic-prone regions, such as the northeastern states, Jammu & Kashmir, and parts of Delhi, are poorly equipped to deal with even moderate earthquakes.

Politicians have also weighed in on the issue from a more strategic perspective, with some speculating that the political landscape could be reshaped by these tremors. As state elections approach, the public’s anxiety about natural disasters, particularly in earthquake-prone regions, could influence voter sentiment. The lack of effective measures to mitigate the impact of earthquakes and provide better infrastructure could become a key electoral issue.

A Call for Action and Preparedness

India’s seismic vulnerability is a complex issue that requires attention from all sectors of society—scientific, political, and environmental. The increased frequency of earthquakes in the past week should serve as a wake-up call for the country, urging both the government and the public to recognize the risks and take immediate action. Seismologists and geologists agree that, while tectonic forces will continue to shape the Indian subcontinent, it is up to policymakers to ensure that the nation is prepared to face these natural disasters. Improved building standards, better emergency response systems, and increased public awareness are all necessary steps to mitigate the impact of future seismic events.

Experts also urge political leaders to make disaster preparedness a priority in their agendas, especially with the upcoming elections in mind. If the government continues to ignore the importance of mitigating seismic risks, it may face the wrath of the youth and the electorate, who are becoming increasingly aware of the threats posed by such natural calamities.

while earthquakes are an inevitable part of India’s geological makeup, the country’s ability to withstand them depends on the concerted efforts of both the government and the public to adapt, prepare, and respond effectively. With the weight of the Himalayan Plateau pressing down on India’s seismic zones, the country must take immediate steps to safeguard its future.

( Author is Managing Editor of The Emerging World)

India’s Religious Disputes Persist

0

Sanjay Pandey

The Supreme Court’s recent scrutiny of the Places of Worship (Special Provisions) Act, 1991, underscores the persistent tension in India over religious sites and their historical claims. The Act mandates that the religious character of a place of worship remains as it was on August 15, 1947, barring the Ram Janmabhoomi-Babri Masjid dispute. While intended to uphold communal harmony, legal and political contestations over its validity continue to intensify. The Supreme Court’s reluctance to hear a slew of fresh petitions challenging the law reflects an ongoing struggle between historical grievances and the state’s role in maintaining religious stability.

A bench led by Chief Justice Sanjiv Khanna and Justice Sanjay Kumar expressed dissatisfaction over the flood of interim applications, signaling the difficulty of addressing the matter in the present judicial setting. Previously, the Court had put a hold on various lawsuits seeking to determine the original religious character of sites like the Gyanvapi Mosque in Varanasi and the Shahi Idgah in Mathura. With political figures such as AIMIM chief Asaduddin Owaisi and Samajwadi Party leader Iqra Choudhary advocating the law’s strict enforcement, the matter remains deeply contentious.

The crux of the legal challenge revolves around Sections 3 and 4 of the Act, which prevent judicial intervention in altering religious sites’ historical character. Petitioners like lawyer Ashwini Upadhyay argue that these provisions infringe on fundamental rights by barring legal remedies to reclaim sites that may have been modified under past regimes. In contrast, Muslim organizations such as Jamiat Ulama-i-Hind insist that any dilution of the Act could destabilize India’s delicate religious equilibrium by triggering an endless cycle of historical revisionism.

Analyzing this situation on an international level reveals stark contrasts in how different nations handle religious site disputes. The United States, for instance, operates under a robust legal framework of secularism while allowing religious organizations significant political influence. While disputes over historical religious sites are rare, when they arise, they are settled within strict legal confines without disrupting broader societal harmony. France, under its laïcité principle, enforces a rigid separation of religion and state, banning overt religious symbols in public spaces, which minimizes religious disputes but creates alienation among religious communities.

China takes an entirely different approach by maintaining strict state control over religious sites, suppressing any claims that could challenge governmental authority. The Chinese Communist Party regulates religious practices to ensure they align with nationalistic ideals, preventing any potential unrest. The United Kingdom follows a more accommodative model, allowing legal interventions in religious matters while ensuring historical grievances do not fuel contemporary discord. Historical claims are rarely entertained, and religious harmony is largely maintained through a balanced legal approach.

Unlike these models, India grapples with a deeply pluralistic but divided religious landscape, where history and faith intersect with politics at every level. The existence of multiple claims over religious sites creates a cacophony that no single legal framework can comprehensively address. The 1991 Act sought to freeze history in an attempt to prevent perpetual religious disputes, but the rising tide of petitions and political maneuvers continues to challenge its authority.

Data highlights the extent of this issue. Since 1991, there have been over 300 legal cases related to religious sites across India, with Hindu and Muslim communities both staking claims on different historical structures. The Ayodhya verdict set a precedent, but with lawsuits concerning sites such as Gyanvapi Mosque, Shahi Idgah, and Kamal Maula Mosque still active, the judiciary faces an uphill task in maintaining consistency in its rulings while preventing communal flare-ups.

The Indian judiciary’s role has been increasingly politicized, with different factions interpreting verdicts based on ideological lines. While the Supreme Court attempts to uphold constitutional principles, political parties often leverage religious site disputes for electoral gains, fueling polarization. The question remains: should the judiciary serve as the final arbiter of historical grievances, or should political consensus drive resolutions?

If the Supreme Court upholds the Places of Worship Act, it would reinforce the idea that historical grievances cannot dictate contemporary governance. However, striking down or amending the Act could open floodgates for new disputes, leading to a destabilization of the social fabric. The challenge lies in balancing historical justice with the need to preserve communal harmony. Given India’s political climate, where religion remains a potent force in public discourse, any verdict will have profound consequences.

In a country where religious identity is deeply intertwined with national politics, resolving disputes over worship sites requires more than just legal pronouncements. It necessitates a broader consensus, political will, and a commitment to social cohesion. International models demonstrate that clear legal boundaries, state neutrality, and minimal political interference can maintain harmony. India must evolve its approach, ensuring that its legal framework is not only robust but also adaptable enough to address emerging challenges without endangering secularism or social stability.

( Author, a seasoned bilingual journalist is an expert on Jharkhand’s sociopolitical landscape.He can be reached at  Pandeysanjay945@gmail.com)

Modi’s U.S. Visit :  Rhetoric Galore But Real Gains Uncertain

0

By Shivaji Sarkar

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit has been subjected to many US machinations. While some issues  like the crude and gas imports may fructify for the time being it needs to be seen as to what happens to  other strategic US offers . Tariff and illegal immigration, however,  remain the most uncomfortable issues to be resolved.

Ahead of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s 36-hour visit to Washington, Trump signed revised global tariff regulations. At a joint press conference with Modi, he took aim at India’s high tariffs, vowing to impose reciprocal import taxes. “Whatever India charges, we charge them. So frankly, it no longer matters to us that much what they charge,” Trump stated, underscoring his hardline approach to trade negotiations.

Modi nodded to it saying, “One thing that I deeply appreciate, and I learn from President Trump, is that he keeps the national interest supreme”, Modi said. “Like him, I also keep the national interest of India at the top of everything else”.

India is set to strengthen economic ties with the U.S. through a massive $500 billion purchase deal, securing crude oil, advanced weaponry—including the controversial F-35 stealth fighters—and tariff adjustments to align with U.S. trade demands. This move comes as President Donald Trump, known for his tough stance on trade, agrees to the deal, making India the fourth country reportedly offered the F-35 after Israel, South Korea, and Singapore. Developed at a staggering cost of $1.17 trillion, the F-35’s potential induction into India’s arsenal raises concerns about its impact on the country’s Atma Nirbhar Bharat initiative.

India’s indigenous LCA program has  faced setbacks due to delays in U.S. engine supplies. The F-35, a single-engine fighter, may not be optimal for high-intensity operations against adversaries like China or Pakistan. Meanwhile, Russia has offered the Su-57 Felon under an accelerated Make-in-India proposal, with production potentially commencing by year-end.

Indian strategists are not confident with highly expensive single-engine F-35. India and the United States signed a deal to import 31 Predator drones from General Atomics in October 2024. The deal is valued at around $4 billion and is intended to improve India’s surveillance capabilities.

According to the US Congressional Research Service, New Delhi is expected to spend more than $200bn over the next decade to modernise its military. Its strategic planners want to replace Russia which till now remains the topmost arms supplier.

Prime Minister Modi opened up his kitty for petroleum purchases to $ 25 billion from the current $ 15 billion to help Trump push significantly increase US oil production and even exports, for which he employed the slogan “Drill, baby, drill”. In November, S&P Global Commodity Insights (SPGCI) said that it expected Asian oil buyers, including India, to witness significantly more opportunities to import “attractively priced crude from the US” as its competition with the OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) suppliers intensifies.

Business giant Trump categorically says “Washington hopes to become top oil and gas supplier to New Delhi”. In simple terms India has to give up the choice of closer and convenient market, like the West Asia. Saudi Arabia remains India’s third largest petroleum supplier with 39.5 MMT.  Iran was shut years ago under the US sanctions. It’s not yet clear how it would impinge on Russian oil purchases that bolstered profits of country’s two giant private refiners.

India has continued its ties with Russia as it carries out its war with Ukraine. India has remained a major consumer of Russian energy,  while the West cut down its own consumption since the war started.

According to India’s official trade data, in January-November of 2024, India imported 7.2 million tonnes of oil from the US, which accounted for 3.2 per cent of New Delhi’s overall oil imports. Russia is currently India’s top oil supplier, followed by Iraq, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and the US. As for LNG, India imported 5.12 million tonnes from the US in January-November 2024, accounting for 20.2 per cent of India’s overall LNG imports for the period.

Higher freight, while also a factor in importing light natural gas (LNG) from the US, is stated to be compensated by American gas priced at a discount and landed price would be lower than West Asian imports.

India being a very heavy energy consumer is now eyeing nuclear energy due to the low carbon source of base power generation. Except usual rhetorics not much concrete has emerged though India has been talking with Westinghouse for a reactor.

 There is another issue. During the recent Israel-Gaza-Houthi (Yemen) -Hezbollah (Lebanon)- war, India’s DAP fertiliser imports had to detour African continent adding to its prices, longer travel and supply delays. It also hampered the India-Middle East-Europe Corridor (IMEEC) aiming to integrate India, Europe, and the Middle-East through UAE, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Israel and the European Union being built by an Indian business house, which has taken over Israel’s Haifa port. These problems may multiply.

Tariff levelling is a complex process. It’s just not the import duties. It also demands review of concessions and other facilities to domestic industries. It may impact Indian industrial production or it has to rejig production expenses to help America pay a low tariff, which Trump says the US charges from its importers. It demolishes barriers, opens up the markets to pouring US goods. Trump is certainly not happy with India’s budgetary duty cuts from 70 percent on Harley Davidson bikes to 30 percent or cuts on lithium-ion batteries. Electrical vehicles are no more his priority.                    

“Tariff”, says Richard Rossow, head of the India program at the Centre for Strategic and International Studies, “is going to be a boxing match. India is willing to take a few hits, but there’s a limit.” The U.S. has a $45.6 billion trade deficit with India. Overall, the U.S. trade-weighted average tariff rate has been about 2.2 percent, according to World Trade Organization data, compared with India’s 12 percent, though the US says it’s much more.

None clarified whether certain issues like summonses against some Indian dignitaries were resolved or not.

In conclusion it can be said that despite all the hype the gains to India  from Modi’s visits are not very clear. It is likely that the F-35 offer would go through deep scrutiny. India had not approached the US for this aircraft but has come as an offer during Modi’s visit. The tariff would remain an issue along with US concern for selling more petroleum crude.

(Author is recognised media commentator the writer is currently serving as a professor at Indian Institute of Mass Communication Delhi).

India-Afghanistan Trade: A Shifting Balance

0

R.C.Ganjoo

The evolving trade dynamics between India and Afghanistan since the Taliban’s return to power in August 2021 reflect a significant transformation in economic engagements between the two nations. India’s once-favorable trade surplus with Afghanistan has been replaced by an unusual trade deficit, as exports to Afghanistan have plummeted to a 16-year low while imports have surged to an unprecedented $642.29 million in 2023-24. This shift, revealed by Ministry of Commerce data, demands a closer examination of its causes, implications, and the future of Indo-Afghan trade relations.

The transformation in trade volume and structure is occurring at a time when New Delhi has initiated high-level diplomatic engagements with the Taliban, underscoring the changing geopolitical equations. Taliban Foreign Minister Amir Khan Muttaqi’s recent statement acknowledging India as a “significant regional and economic power” and expressing interest in strengthening economic ties marks a pragmatic shift in the Taliban’s approach. The meeting between India’s Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri and the Taliban leadership, with discussions centered on trade expansion and the strategic use of Iran’s Chabahar port, signals an evolving diplomatic and economic calculus.

The trade data indicates a sharp decline in India’s exports to Afghanistan since the Taliban takeover. In 2020-21, before the fall of the Ashraf Ghani government, India exported goods worth $825.78 million to Afghanistan, while imports stood at $509.49 million. However, post-Taliban takeover, exports plummeted to $554.47 million in 2021-22, followed by further reductions to $437.05 million in 2022-23 and finally to $355.45 million in 2023-24. Meanwhile, imports from Afghanistan have increased steadily from $509.49 million in 2020-21 to an all-time high of $642.29 million in 2023-24, except for a temporary dip in 2022-23 when imports fell to $452.81 million.

Economists and trade analysts attribute this shift to several interlinked factors. Senior trade analyst Rajiv Bhatia points out that India’s export decline is primarily due to the disruption of banking channels following the Taliban’s rise to power. The United States’ sanctions on Afghanistan’s financial system, coupled with international reluctance to formally recognize the Taliban regime, have impeded formal banking transactions, thereby limiting Afghan traders’ ability to pay for Indian goods. “Even when Afghan businesses want to buy from India, the lack of financial channels makes it difficult to facilitate payments, forcing them to look for alternative markets,” Bhatia explains.

Another critical factor behind the slump in Indian exports is the disruption of land routes through Pakistan. Before 2021, India exported essential goods, including pharmaceuticals, sugar, and textiles, to Afghanistan via the Wagah border, using Pakistan as a transit country. However, Islamabad’s increasingly restrictive policies on Indian goods transiting to Afghanistan have curtailed this route, pushing Afghan importers to rely on Iran’s Chabahar port and alternate suppliers, such as China and Turkey. Though India has invested significantly in the Chabahar port to bypass Pakistan’s influence over trade routes, the operational efficiency of this corridor is yet to match the seamless movement that the Wagah border once facilitated.

Conversely, the rise in India’s imports from Afghanistan presents an interesting economic paradox. Afghan exports to India, particularly agricultural commodities like dry fruits, asafoetida, and lapis lazuli, have witnessed an uptick, even as Indian exports suffer. Economist Usha Sunil attributes this phenomenon to the Taliban’s economic strategy, which prioritizes boosting Afghanistan’s exports while restricting unnecessary imports. “The Taliban have actively encouraged agricultural exports to sustain their economy, as foreign reserves remain frozen and international aid has dwindled. India, being a major market for Afghan agricultural products, has naturally seen a rise in imports,” she observes.

The data also suggests a pattern in India’s import trends from Afghanistan. While imports saw only a marginal increase in 2021-22 ($510.93 million from $509.49 million in 2020-21), the year 2022-23 recorded a temporary dip to $452.81 million. This decline, trade expert Ashok Puri notes, was due to disruptions in supply chains caused by internal instability in Afghanistan, including security challenges along key export routes. However, by 2023-24, Afghan exports to India rebounded to an all-time high of $642.29 million, likely due to stabilization in Taliban-controlled trade mechanisms and the increasing role of private Afghan traders in bypassing Western sanctions through informal trade channels.

The growing trade deficit raises pertinent questions about India’s economic leverage over Afghanistan. Historically, India enjoyed a trade surplus with Afghanistan, which allowed it a degree of influence in shaping economic policies favorable to Indian businesses. However, with Indian exports plummeting and imports rising, the economic dependency equation is shifting. Former Indian ambassador to Afghanistan, Gautam Mukhopadhaya, cautions that a trade imbalance favoring Afghanistan could reduce India’s bargaining power in political negotiations. “A widening trade deficit, coupled with Taliban’s evolving foreign policy, may lead Afghanistan to align more closely with China, Pakistan, and Iran, rather than with India,” he warns.

Additionally, the Taliban’s engagement with India remains fraught with political sensitivities. While the Taliban seeks economic cooperation, it has yet to make definitive commitments regarding India’s security concerns, particularly regarding cross-border terrorism. Senior journalist and geopolitical analyst Pramit Pal Chaudhuri emphasizes that any deepening of economic ties must be conditional on Afghanistan not becoming a haven for anti-India elements. “Trade cannot be seen in isolation from security concerns. New Delhi must ensure that economic engagement does not come at the cost of compromising on national security,” he asserts.

The role of Iran’s Chabahar port in mitigating trade barriers is another aspect requiring critical assessment. While India has championed Chabahar as an alternative trade route to bypass Pakistan, its full potential remains underutilized due to American sanctions on Iran and logistical inefficiencies. Some analysts believe that if India accelerates infrastructure development at Chabahar and integrates it more effectively with Afghanistan’s trade network, it could reclaim some of its lost export ground. However, as former diplomat T.C.A. Raghavan notes, “Chabahar can only be a viable solution if India ensures reliable shipping lines, smooth customs procedures, and greater investment in Afghan trade facilitation centers.”

Looking ahead, the future of Indo-Afghan trade will depend on multiple geopolitical and economic factors. The question of whether the Taliban will gain wider international recognition remains central to the restoration of banking channels and normalized trade flows. Moreover, Afghanistan’s increasing tilt towards China, which has aggressively expanded its economic footprint in the region, poses a strategic challenge for India. If New Delhi fails to recalibrate its trade strategy, it risks being sidelined in Afghanistan’s evolving economic landscape.

In conclusion, the shift in India-Afghanistan trade dynamics underscores the complexities of engaging with a regime that remains largely unrecognized by the international community. The sharp decline in Indian exports and the simultaneous rise in imports reflect both logistical challenges and strategic recalibrations in Afghan economic policies. While India has engaged in high-level diplomatic talks with the Taliban, the sustainability of trade relations will depend on a pragmatic approach that balances economic interests with security concerns. As Afghanistan navigates its post-conflict economy, India must adopt a more proactive trade strategy, leveraging both Chabahar and new diplomatic engagements, to prevent a further erosion of its economic influence in the region.

Federalism under Strain

0

Sanjay Pandey

The political friction between the Tamil Nadu government and the Centre has escalated once again, with Chief Minister M.K. Stalin launching a scathing attack on Union Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan for allegedly tying education-related funds to the state’s acceptance of the National Education Policy (NEP) and the three-language formula. Stalin accused Pradhan of “blackmail” and asserted that the Tamil people would not tolerate such coercion. The controversy stems from Pradhan’s remarks in Varanasi on February 15, where he reportedly stated that Tamil Nadu must “come to terms with the Indian Constitution” and that the three-language policy is the “rule of law.”

Stalin, in a post on ‘X,’ tagged a video of Pradhan’s comments and challenged the minister to specify the constitutional provision that mandates the three-language formula, which includes English, the regional language, and Hindi. He questioned whether the Centre was deliberately withholding funds as a pressure tactic, emphasizing that the state was only demanding its rightful share from the Union government. The Chief Minister argued that if Pradhan treated Tamil Nadu’s demands as though the state was asking for his personal wealth, then Delhi would soon witness the resolute spirit of the Tamil people. His strong rhetoric underscores Tamil Nadu’s long-standing opposition to Hindi imposition, a sentiment deeply ingrained in the state’s political and linguistic identity since the anti-Hindi agitation of the 1960s.

The Centre’s push for the NEP and the three-language policy has been a contentious issue in Tamil Nadu, where successive governments—across party lines—have upheld the state’s existing two-language formula of Tamil and English in schools. The state government views the NEP as an attempt to centralize education policies in a manner that disregards regional autonomy. The DMK, in particular, has consistently opposed any move that could be perceived as linguistic or cultural imposition by the BJP-led Union government. Stalin’s attack on Pradhan is therefore not just about education funding; it is a continuation of Tamil Nadu’s larger struggle against perceived encroachments on its linguistic and educational policies.

Political analysts argue that Pradhan’s remarks, whether intentional or not, play directly into Tamil Nadu’s historical anxieties regarding Hindi imposition. Senior journalist N. Ram noted that such statements from Union ministers only serve to strengthen regional parties like the DMK, which have built their political narratives on safeguarding Tamil identity. “The BJP has struggled to make electoral inroads in Tamil Nadu precisely because of its association with policies that are seen as culturally and linguistically homogenizing. Remarks like these reinforce the perception that the Centre is indifferent to Tamil Nadu’s concerns,” he stated.

Economist and policy expert Usha Sunil pointed out that the linkage of education funds to policy compliance raises constitutional and governance-related questions. “Education falls under the Concurrent List, meaning both the Centre and the states have jurisdiction. However, coercive federalism, where funds are withheld to force state governments to comply with a centrally dictated policy, violates the spirit of cooperative federalism,” she argued. Tamil Nadu has long argued that its successful education model—marked by high literacy rates and social welfare-oriented policies—should not be disrupted by a uniform national framework that does not account for regional diversity.

The BJP, on the other hand, has framed its stance as one of inclusivity and national integration. Pradhan, responding to Stalin’s criticism, questioned whether the Tamil Nadu Chief Minister believed that only students in private schools should learn multiple languages. He accused the DMK of promoting an outdated language policy from the 1960s that, in his view, deprives government school students of linguistic opportunities available to their peers in private institutions. The BJP’s argument is that the three-language formula provides students with better career prospects, particularly given the dominance of Hindi in government services and private-sector jobs across North India.

However, critics argue that this perspective ignores the reality that Hindi is not necessary for students who seek opportunities either within Tamil Nadu or internationally. Senior political commentator S. Gurumurthy, though aligned with the BJP on many issues, has previously remarked that Tamil Nadu’s economic and educational successes are proof that a two-language formula does not hinder students’ prospects. “Tamil Nadu’s IT sector thrives without mandatory Hindi education, and its students excel globally with just Tamil and English. The Centre’s argument that Hindi is essential does not hold water,” he stated.

The confrontation over the three-language policy and NEP also has electoral implications. With the 2024 general elections approaching, the DMK is leveraging this controversy to consolidate its voter base by positioning itself as the sole defender of Tamil interests against alleged central overreach. The BJP, on the other hand, is attempting to challenge the DMK’s hegemony by projecting itself as a party that promotes national unity and economic opportunity. However, as political scientist Prof. R. Venkatesan notes, “Every time the BJP raises the issue of language, it plays into the DMK’s hands. Tamil Nadu’s electorate has historically rejected any policy that appears to threaten its linguistic identity. The BJP risks alienating potential voters rather than gaining support.”

At the heart of this debate lies the broader question of federalism and the distribution of power between the Centre and the states. Tamil Nadu has been vocal about its demand for greater autonomy in policymaking, particularly in areas like education, where regional priorities often differ from national objectives. The DMK government sees the NEP as a vehicle for centralized control, whereas the BJP views it as a necessary reform to standardize and modernize India’s education system.

As the war of words between Stalin and Pradhan continues, the issue is likely to remain a flashpoint in Centre-state relations. With Tamil Nadu’s history of linguistic pride and resistance to Hindi imposition, any attempt to enforce the three-language formula is bound to meet with fierce opposition. The DMK’s stance reflects not just political posturing but a deeply ingrained cultural sentiment that has shaped Tamil Nadu’s identity for decades.

The larger question remains—will the Centre push ahead with its language policy in the face of Tamil Nadu’s resistance, or will it adopt a more conciliatory approach to avoid further alienating a state that has consistently opposed any form of linguistic imposition? The coming months may provide the answer, but one thing is certain: Tamil Nadu’s battle for linguistic and educational autonomy is far from over.

The political friction between the Tamil Nadu government and the Centre has escalated once again, with Chief Minister M.K. Stalin launching a scathing attack on Union Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan for allegedly tying education-related funds to the state’s acceptance of the National Education Policy (NEP) and the three-language formula. Stalin accused Pradhan of “blackmail” and asserted that the Tamil people would not tolerate such coercion. The controversy stems from Pradhan’s remarks in Varanasi on February 15, where he reportedly stated that Tamil Nadu must “come to terms with the Indian Constitution” and that the three-language policy is the “rule of law.”

Stalin, in a post on ‘X,’ tagged a video of Pradhan’s comments and challenged the minister to specify the constitutional provision that mandates the three-language formula, which includes English, the regional language, and Hindi. He questioned whether the Centre was deliberately withholding funds as a pressure tactic, emphasizing that the state was only demanding its rightful share from the Union government. The Chief Minister argued that if Pradhan treated Tamil Nadu’s demands as though the state was asking for his personal wealth, then Delhi would soon witness the resolute spirit of the Tamil people. His strong rhetoric underscores Tamil Nadu’s long-standing opposition to Hindi imposition, a sentiment deeply ingrained in the state’s political and linguistic identity since the anti-Hindi agitation of the 1960s.

The Centre’s push for the NEP and the three-language policy has been a contentious issue in Tamil Nadu, where successive governments—across party lines—have upheld the state’s existing two-language formula of Tamil and English in schools. The state government views the NEP as an attempt to centralize education policies in a manner that disregards regional autonomy. The DMK, in particular, has consistently opposed any move that could be perceived as linguistic or cultural imposition by the BJP-led Union government. Stalin’s attack on Pradhan is therefore not just about education funding; it is a continuation of Tamil Nadu’s larger struggle against perceived encroachments on its linguistic and educational policies.

Political analysts argue that Pradhan’s remarks, whether intentional or not, play directly into Tamil Nadu’s historical anxieties regarding Hindi imposition. Senior journalist N. Ram noted that such statements from Union ministers only serve to strengthen regional parties like the DMK, which have built their political narratives on safeguarding Tamil identity. “The BJP has struggled to make electoral inroads in Tamil Nadu precisely because of its association with policies that are seen as culturally and linguistically homogenizing. Remarks like these reinforce the perception that the Centre is indifferent to Tamil Nadu’s concerns,” he stated.

Economist and policy expert Usha Sunil pointed out that the linkage of education funds to policy compliance raises constitutional and governance-related questions. “Education falls under the Concurrent List, meaning both the Centre and the states have jurisdiction. However, coercive federalism, where funds are withheld to force state governments to comply with a centrally dictated policy, violates the spirit of cooperative federalism,” she argued. Tamil Nadu has long argued that its successful education model—marked by high literacy rates and social welfare-oriented policies—should not be disrupted by a uniform national framework that does not account for regional diversity.

The BJP, on the other hand, has framed its stance as one of inclusivity and national integration. Pradhan, responding to Stalin’s criticism, questioned whether the Tamil Nadu Chief Minister believed that only students in private schools should learn multiple languages. He accused the DMK of promoting an outdated language policy from the 1960s that, in his view, deprives government school students of linguistic opportunities available to their peers in private institutions. The BJP’s argument is that the three-language formula provides students with better career prospects, particularly given the dominance of Hindi in government services and private-sector jobs across North India.

However, critics argue that this perspective ignores the reality that Hindi is not necessary for students who seek opportunities either within Tamil Nadu or internationally. Senior political commentator S. Gurumurthy, though aligned with the BJP on many issues, has previously remarked that Tamil Nadu’s economic and educational successes are proof that a two-language formula does not hinder students’ prospects. “Tamil Nadu’s IT sector thrives without mandatory Hindi education, and its students excel globally with just Tamil and English. The Centre’s argument that Hindi is essential does not hold water,” he stated.

The confrontation over the three-language policy and NEP also has electoral implications. With the 2024 general elections approaching, the DMK is leveraging this controversy to consolidate its voter base by positioning itself as the sole defender of Tamil interests against alleged central overreach. The BJP, on the other hand, is attempting to challenge the DMK’s hegemony by projecting itself as a party that promotes national unity and economic opportunity. However, as political scientist Prof. R. Venkatesan notes, “Every time the BJP raises the issue of language, it plays into the DMK’s hands. Tamil Nadu’s electorate has historically rejected any policy that appears to threaten its linguistic identity. The BJP risks alienating potential voters rather than gaining support.”

At the heart of this debate lies the broader question of federalism and the distribution of power between the Centre and the states. Tamil Nadu has been vocal about its demand for greater autonomy in policymaking, particularly in areas like education, where regional priorities often differ from national objectives. The DMK government sees the NEP as a vehicle for centralized control, whereas the BJP views it as a necessary reform to standardize and modernize India’s education system.

As the war of words between Stalin and Pradhan continues, the issue is likely to remain a flashpoint in Centre-state relations. With Tamil Nadu’s history of linguistic pride and resistance to Hindi imposition, any attempt to enforce the three-language formula is bound to meet with fierce opposition. The DMK’s stance reflects not just political posturing but a deeply ingrained cultural sentiment that has shaped Tamil Nadu’s identity for decades.

The larger question remains—will the Centre push ahead with its language policy in the face of Tamil Nadu’s resistance, or will it adopt a more conciliatory approach to avoid further alienating a state that has consistently opposed any form of linguistic imposition? The coming months may provide the answer, but one thing is certain: Tamil Nadu’s battle for linguistic and educational autonomy is far from over.

(Author, a seasoned bilingual journalist, is an expert on Jharkhand’s sociopolitical landscape.He can be reached at pandeysanjay945@gmail.com)

India’s Education Crisis

0

Amit Pandey

of reforming and strengthening public universities, it has chosen to make them vulnerable to political interference and administrative inefficiencies. The case of North Eastern Hill University (NEHU) is a glaring example of how public universities are being sabotaged. The Vice-Chancellor of NEHU has been denied entry into the university for the last four months, a clear indication of the chaos prevailing within one of the most prestigious institutions in the Northeast. If a government-funded university faces such disorder, what does it say about the state of higher education governance in India?

The issue of private universities functioning with absolute impunity was even raised in the last Parliament session, where Minister of State for Education Sukanta Majumdar made sensational disclosures about widespread irregularities in India’s higher education system. He admitted that several private institutions were running unauthorized courses, granting degrees without proper accreditation, and violating UGC norms. Yet, despite these admissions, no stringent action has been taken.

This brings us to a fundamental question: why hasn’t the government introduced an ordinance to regulate private universities? If higher education is indeed a matter of state importance, as the numerous mishaps suggest, why hasn’t there been a nationwide crackdown on these fraudulent institutions? The government’s unwillingness to act raises suspicions that privatization of education is not merely a policy failure but a deliberate strategy to weaken the public education system and push students toward unreliable private entities.

The slow dismantling of India’s educational institutions is a result of misplaced priorities. Instead of investing in public universities, ensuring better faculty recruitment, and providing adequate research funding, the government has consistently reduced grants for public institutions. The University Grants Commission (UGC) itself has faced budget cuts, leaving many state universities struggling to maintain academic standards. As a result, students who cannot afford expensive private institutions are left with subpar public education, while those who opt for private universities often find themselves holding degrees that lack credibility.

The crisis is further exacerbated by rampant commercialization. Many private universities function more like businesses than academic institutions, prioritizing revenue over education. They charge exorbitant fees, admit students indiscriminately, and grant degrees without proper evaluation. This is evident in the mushrooming of private engineering and management colleges across the country, where thousands of students graduate every year only to find that their degrees hold little value in the job market. The growing unemployment among graduates is a direct consequence of this failing system.

Another pressing concern is the politicization of education. The appointment of Vice-Chancellors based on political loyalty rather than merit has weakened the academic credibility of several institutions. In states like Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, allegations of political interference in university appointments have become common, leading to a decline in research output and academic excellence. When institutions are run by political appointees rather than qualified academicians, the very purpose of education is lost.

The deterioration of India’s higher education system also has far-reaching implications for the country’s global standing. Indian universities are consistently absent from the top rankings of global academic institutions, largely because they fail to maintain rigorous academic and research standards. The best Indian students now prefer to study abroad, causing a brain drain that further weakens the country’s intellectual capital. If this trend continues, India risks becoming an exporter of talent while failing to create a robust domestic education system.

It is time to acknowledge that India’s education system is at a breaking point. The exposure of fraudulent universities, the neglect of public institutions, the lack of regulatory oversight, and the government’s complicity in allowing private players to dominate the sector are all symptoms of a failing state. If the government does not take immediate action—by imposing stricter regulations, increasing public funding for universities, and ensuring accountability—it will only accelerate the collapse of higher education in the country.

The government’s current approach appears to be one of deliberate neglect, allowing the education sector to crumble under the weight of corruption, mismanagement, and commercialization. The NEHU crisis, the USTM scandal, and the revelations in Parliament are all warning signs that the system is being hollowed out from within. The question now is not just about fake degrees or fraudulent private universities—it is about whether India’s next generation will have access to quality higher education at all. If the government fails to act, the damage may soon become irreversible.

( Author is Managing Editor of The Emerging World)

The Cost of Personal Attacks on Democracy  

0

Ultimately, this kind of politics undermines the momentum of genuine democratic progress. As political analyst and philosopher Jean-Jacques Rousseau once said, “Democracy is not just about the vote, but about the dignity and respect accorded to each citizen.”

Amit Pandey

Indian politics has indeed reached a pivotal moment where the concept of family pride and blood connection have become deeply intertwined with political discourse. Recent events have put this into sharp focus, particularly the accusations against Gaurav Gogoi by BJP leaders, including Himanta Biswa Sarma, that his wife, Elizabeth, has connections with an NGO allegedly linked to Pakistan’s ISI, the intelligence service. Despite Gaurav’s dismissal of these allegations as “ridiculous and entertaining,” the BJP continues to press the issue, with Himanta leading the charge.

The question arises as to how such serious allegations can be leveled against the Deputy Leader of the Opposition in the Lok Sabha without concrete evidence or proper investigation. Gaurav Gogoi holds a vital position in Indian politics, second only to Rahul Gandhi in the Congress hierarchy. Yet, Himanta’s relentless attacks on Gaurav and his family go unchecked.

If the BJP truly believes in the veracity of these claims, they should pursue a discreet and thorough investigation to maintain the decorum and dignity of political positions. Should the allegations prove true, the law should take its course. However, it appears that the BJP’s motive is to defame Gaurav Gogoi by repeatedly making the same accusations, which serves to distract from their own political challenges.

This is not the first time the BJP has resorted to such tactics. From 1996 to 2004, Sonia Gandhi faced relentless criticism over her Italian origins and supposed threats to national security. Despite these accusations, the Congress eventually came to power, and the issue was dropped. Similarly, Shashi Tharoor faced scrutiny over his wife, Sunanda Pushkar, and other allegations. The pattern seems to be an attempt to undermine leaders by targeting their families, often focusing on marriages to women who respect Indian culture and have integrated into Indian society.

Himanta Biswa Sarma, known for his aggressive Hindutva stance, has become a prominent figure in the BJP’s strategy. His attacks on Rahul Gandhi and other opposition leaders often cross the boundaries of healthy democratic discourse. The country’s current political climate, characterized by divisive rhetoric and populist tactics, has made it easier for such narratives to gain traction.

The use of slogans like Yogi Adityanath’s “Thok Denge” (We’ll hit them) and Himanta’s “Sabko Bhagna Padega” (Everyone will have to flee) reflect a style of politics that prioritizes sensationalism over substance. Analysts suggest that this approach aims to gain cheap popularity and divert attention from the government’s failures.

Ultimately, this kind of politics undermines the momentum of genuine democratic progress. As political analyst and philosopher Jean-Jacques Rousseau once said, “Democracy is not just about the vote, but about the dignity and respect accorded to each citizen.” Similarly, the Mahabharata teaches us, “A king should seek to establish the rule of law, ensure justice, and maintain harmony.” These timeless principles remind us that the true essence of democracy lies in compassion, respect, and the rule of law, which should guide political conduct in India.

This reflection on the state of Indian politics underscores the need for a return to a more respectful and dignified discourse, where issues are addressed on their merits, and personal attacks are set aside in favor of constructive dialogue and progress.

The political rivalry between Assam Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma and Congress MP Gaurav Gogoi has taken an intensely personal turn. Sarma has accused Gogoi’s wife, Elizabeth Gogoi, of alleged links to Pakistan’s ISI, citing her past work with an NGO associated with Pakistani nationals. In retaliation, Gogoi has dismissed these allegations as baseless and politically motivated, linking them to his earlier exposé of Sarma’s wife, Riniki Bhuyan Sarma, receiving ₹10 crore in Central grants for her media company. This political battle has sparked a debate on the ethics of personal attacks in Indian politics.

Himanta Biswa Sarma’s Allegations:

On February 13, 2025, CM Himanta Biswa Sarma questioned the legitimacy of a lawmaker’s spouse holding foreign citizenship for over a decade. He implied that Elizabeth Gogoi’s prolonged foreign status could raise national security concerns, stating, “Allowing a foreign spouse of a lawmaker to retain foreign citizenship for 12 years is far too long. Loyalty to the nation must always take precedence over all considerations.”

Taking his claims further, Sarma accused Elizabeth of working under a Pakistani national, Ali Tauqeer Sheikh, in an NGO that was engaged in climate research but allegedly had deeper connections. He remarked, “Elizabeth Colburn w/o Hon’ble MP worked under Ali Tauqeer Sheikh in the organisation LEAD Pakistan, which operated under the guise of climate change initiatives.”

Sarma also brought up a 2015 meeting between Gaurav Gogoi and Pakistan’s then-High Commissioner to India, Abdul Basit, insinuating that this, coupled with Elizabeth’s professional background, could indicate external influence on Gogoi’s political activities. He stated, “In 2015, the Pakistani High Commissioner to India… invited a first-term Member of Parliament… to discuss India-Pakistan relations.”

Gaurav Gogoi’s Retaliation:

Gogoi was quick to dismiss the allegations, calling them a diversionary tactic to shift focus from Sarma’s own issues. Referring to the accusations against his wife, he sarcastically remarked, “If my wife is an ISI agent of Pakistan, then I am an R&AW agent of India.”

Gogoi pointed out that such attacks were politically motivated, timed conveniently before elections to malign opposition figures. He stated, “Normally these kinds of things emerge close to elections… These ‘masala’ things come up around elections.”

He also turned the spotlight on the ongoing controversy surrounding Sarma’s wife, Riniki Bhuyan Sarma. In September 2023, Gogoi had accused Riniki of receiving ₹10 crore in Central government grants meant for farmers, channeled through a scheme to her media company. The revelation led to a political uproar, with Riniki filing a ₹10 crore defamation lawsuit against Gogoi. Referring to this, Gogoi said, “The Assam Chief Minister is making these allegations only to divert attention from the allegations against him.”

Experts suggest that Sarma’s attacks on Gogoi’s family are a strategic move to deflect from the BJP’s internal controversies and the financial scandal surrounding his wife. Congress leaders argue that such personal attacks degrade political discourse and indicate desperation. BJP leaders, including Gaurav Bhatia, however, have backed Sarma, demanding clarification from Gogoi regarding his wife’s alleged foreign links, calling it a “serious national security issue.”

This escalating battle reflects the deep-seated rivalries in Assam politics, where personal allegations are being weaponized in the run-up to elections.

Elizabeth Colburn, the British-born spouse of Congress MP Gaurav Gogoi, has a professional background centered on climate change and development. She is an alumna of the London School of Economics, where she pursued studies pertinent to her career in environmental policy and management.

From March 2011 to January 2015, Colburn was associated with the Climate and Development Knowledge Network (CDKN) in Pakistan. In this role, she coordinated country programs in India and Nepal and led knowledge management initiatives. Currently, Colburn is employed by Oxford Policy Management, focusing on climate-related issues.

Her marriage to Gaurav Gogoi in 2013 has recently come under political scrutiny, with allegations concerning her professional associations. However, these claims have been refuted by the involved parties.

BJP’s Strategy Behind Attacking

From Sonia Gandhi’s foreign origins to Shashi Tharoor’s late wife Sunanda Pushkar and now Gaurav Gogoi’s spouse, the BJP has consistently used personal allegations as a political tool against Congress leaders. The pattern suggests a strategic attempt to undermine Congress leaders’ credibility by questioning their familial associations and ties to foreign entities.

Sonia Gandhi and the Foreign Citizenship Debate (1996-2004)
The BJP’s attacks on Sonia Gandhi intensified in the late 1990s when she emerged as Congress’ most powerful leader. The party repeatedly raised concerns over her Italian origins, arguing that a person of foreign descent should not hold India’s highest office. BJP stalwarts like Sushma Swaraj and Narendra Modi led campaigns suggesting Sonia’s Indian citizenship was a political maneuver. This narrative was used to create suspicion about Congress’ leadership and to rally nationalist sentiments ahead of elections.

Shashi Tharoor, Sunanda Pushkar, and Controversies
In 2010, Shashi Tharoor’s association with Sunanda Pushkar became a major political controversy when allegations surfaced regarding the Kochi IPL team. The issue escalated in 2014 when Sunanda was found dead under mysterious circumstances. BJP leaders frequently raised this case, implying Tharoor had questionable dealings. The controversy was kept alive to weaken his political standing.

Gaurav Gogoi’s Wife and the ISI Allegation
Now, Assam CM Himanta Biswa Sarma has targeted Gaurav Gogoi by questioning his wife’s past professional associations and foreign citizenship. By linking her to Pakistan’s ISI, BJP aims to create doubts about Gogoi’s national loyalty. This serves to shift focus from corruption allegations against Sarma’s family and weaken Congress in Assam before elections.

This pattern reveals BJP’s strategy of using personal allegations to damage Congress leaders while diverting public attention from governance issues.

Political experts, authors, and commentators see BJP’s personal attacks—especially linking Congress leaders’ spouses to foreign or suspicious entities—as part of a larger political strategy. These tactics serve multiple objectives, from influencing voter perception to diverting attention from pressing governance issues. The recent allegations by Assam Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma against Gaurav Gogoi’s wife are being viewed in the same light.

Senior journalist and political analyst Paranjoy Guha Thakurta notes that BJP has consistently used nationalism as a key electoral strategy. By questioning the foreign connections of Congress leaders’ spouses—from Sonia Gandhi’s Italian origins to Gaurav Gogoi’s wife’s alleged links to Pakistan—BJP strengthens its nationalist credentials while portraying Congress as weak on national security. This approach resonates particularly well with BJP’s core voter base, which is sensitive to issues of foreign influence and sovereignty.

According to veteran columnist Aakar Patel, these attacks often come at moments when BJP leaders face scrutiny over governance failures or corruption allegations. The timing of Sarma’s accusations against Gogoi’s wife coincides with Congress’ focus on Sarma’s wife receiving ₹10 crore in government grants. The same pattern was observed when Shashi Tharoor faced personal attacks following the controversy surrounding Sunanda Pushkar’s death. Patel argues that such diversions help BJP control the political narrative and prevent discussions on governance lapses.

Author and political commentator Ashutosh believes that BJP follows a strategy of “psychological warfare” against opposition leaders. By attacking their personal lives—whether through foreign connections, alleged illicit relationships, or corruption—BJP aims to weaken the opposition’s morale and credibility. Sarma, once a Congress leader himself, has built his political identity in BJP by aggressively targeting his former colleagues, but his own record as Assam’s Chief Minister has been marred by several failures.

Sarma has faced criticism for his handling of Assam’s flood crisis, with inadequate relief measures leaving thousands stranded. His government’s crackdown on alleged “love jihad” cases and bulldozer politics have drawn legal challenges, questioning the arbitrary use of state power. Furthermore, Assam’s economic situation remains concerning, with rising unemployment and agrarian distress continuing to trouble the state. Instead of addressing these pressing concerns, Sarma has chosen to engage in political attacks, which experts believe is an attempt to mask his administration’s inefficiencies.

Noted psephologist and analyst Pradeep Gupta suggests that BJP carefully selects such narratives before elections to weaken its opponents. In 2019, BJP leaders revived the Rajiv Gandhi-Bofors issue, and now ahead of the 2024 elections, Gaurav Gogoi’s wife is being targeted. This is a calculated move to put Congress on the defensive while BJP retains the upper hand in narrative-setting.

Experts agree that BJP’s personal attacks are not isolated incidents but part of a structured political strategy. By intertwining nationalism, public perception, and narrative control, BJP ensures that opposition leaders remain constantly on the defensive. However, Sarma’s growing reliance on these tactics instead of governance improvements suggests a leader more focused on political maneuvering than on delivering results for Assam.

BJP’s repeated attacks on opposition leaders’ spouses reflect a well-planned strategy aimed at shaping public perception, discrediting rivals, and diverting attention from governance failures. Whether it was the controversy around Sonia Gandhi’s foreign origins, the allegations surrounding Sunanda Pushkar, or the recent claims against Gaurav Gogoi’s wife, the pattern remains consistent—raise doubts, question national loyalty, and push the opposition into a defensive position. This approach not only consolidates BJP’s nationalist image but also prevents meaningful debates on governance and policy issues.

In Assam, Himanta Biswa Sarma’s reliance on personal attacks appears to be an attempt to mask his own administrative shortcomings. From inadequate flood relief to rising unemployment and controversial crackdowns, his tenure has been marked by unfulfilled promises and criticism. By targeting Gogoi’s wife at a time when his own wife’s financial dealings are under scrutiny, Sarma is playing a familiar game of deflection.

However, experts argue that such tactics, while effective in the short term, do not erase governance failures. If BJP and leaders like Sarma continue prioritizing personal attacks over policy-driven leadership, voter dissatisfaction may eventually rise, challenging their dominance in future elections. Politics based on narratives can only last as long as governance remains unchallenged.

( Author is Managing Editor Of The Emerging World)

Constitutional Clash

0

The judiciary’s actions have frequently countered attempts to undermine democratic principles, reaffirming its position as a bulwark against authoritarian tendencies.

Sanjay Pandey

The recent remarks by Vice President Jagdeep Dhankhar questioning the involvement of the Chief Justice of India (CJI) in executive appointments have sparked an intense constitutional debate. The issue revolves around the separation of powers and the role of the judiciary in upholding democratic values. India’s Constitution, drafted with the intent of ensuring an independent judiciary, has established mechanisms to prevent executive overreach. However, Dhankhar’s statements raise pertinent questions regarding the judiciary’s autonomy and its influence over executive decisions.

The Indian Constitution envisions a clear demarcation between the executive, legislature, and judiciary to maintain checks and balances. Article 50 explicitly mandates the separation of the judiciary from the executive, ensuring that judicial processes remain free from political influence. The collegium system, developed through judicial precedent rather than explicit constitutional provision, governs the appointment of judges. This system, established by the Supreme Court’s landmark rulings, gives primacy to judicial recommendations over executive discretion in appointing judges. The rationale behind this framework is to safeguard judicial independence from political interference, thereby upholding the rule of law.

Vice President Dhankhar’s contention that the judiciary’s involvement in executive appointments creates a constitutional paradox challenges the existing interpretation of separation of powers. His remarks suggest that the judiciary has extended its influence beyond its intended mandate, encroaching upon executive functions. This assertion, however, disregards the historical context of judicial autonomy in India. The collegium system was a response to concerns over executive dominance in judicial appointments. Prior to its establishment, the executive had substantial authority over judicial selections, leading to fears of political patronage and bias. The Supreme Court, through its rulings in the Second and Third Judges cases, sought to rectify this imbalance by ensuring that judicial appointments remained within the judiciary’s domain.

Critics of the collegium system argue that it lacks transparency and accountability, as appointments are made through internal deliberations without external scrutiny. The National Judicial Appointments Commission (NJAC), introduced in 2014 to replace the collegium, sought to address these concerns by incorporating executive participation in judicial selections. However, the Supreme Court struck down the NJAC in 2015, citing concerns over judicial independence. This decision reaffirmed the judiciary’s stance that executive involvement in appointments could undermine its autonomy. Dhankhar’s call for reevaluating the judiciary’s role in appointments appears to revisit the NJAC debate, reigniting tensions between the executive and judiciary.

The independence of the judiciary is fundamental to a functioning democracy. The judiciary serves as the guardian of constitutional values, ensuring that laws and executive actions adhere to the principles enshrined in the Constitution. Historical precedents demonstrate the judiciary’s critical role in protecting democratic institutions from executive overreach. Landmark rulings, such as Kesavananda Bharati v. State of Kerala, established the doctrine of basic structure, preventing the government from altering the Constitution’s fundamental framework. Such interventions highlight the judiciary’s necessity in maintaining democratic stability.

The Vice President’s statements must be analyzed in light of the broader global discourse on judicial autonomy. In many democracies, judicial appointments involve varying degrees of executive participation. The United States follows a system where the President nominates Supreme Court justices, subject to Senate confirmation. While this model allows democratic accountability, it also exposes the judiciary to political maneuvering, as seen in highly contentious judicial nominations. India’s model, despite its criticisms, aims to insulate the judiciary from such political pressures, prioritizing judicial expertise over executive discretion.

Political parties have taken differing stances on this issue. Some argue that judicial appointments should incorporate a broader consultative process to enhance accountability, while others emphasize preserving the judiciary’s primacy to protect its independence. Electoral reforms have sought to strengthen democratic institutions by promoting transparency and fairness in governance. Measures such as electronic voting, financial disclosure requirements, and legal provisions against electoral malpractice reflect a broader commitment to democratic integrity. These reforms align with the judiciary’s role in ensuring free and fair elections, further underscoring its importance in governance.

The judiciary’s impact on democracy extends beyond appointments. Its proactive role in addressing electoral disputes, upholding fundamental rights, and interpreting constitutional provisions has reinforced public trust in democratic institutions. Judicial interventions in cases involving electoral malpractices, corruption, and executive accountability illustrate its significance in maintaining constitutional order. The judiciary’s actions have frequently countered attempts to undermine democratic principles, reaffirming its position as a bulwark against authoritarian tendencies.

At the Munich Security Conference 2025, External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar defended India’s democratic resilience, highlighting the country’s ability to address socio-economic challenges within a democratic framework. His remarks countered narratives that democracy is ineffective in delivering tangible benefits. The judiciary’s role in upholding democratic values is integral to this resilience. By ensuring legal accountability, protecting fundamental rights, and maintaining electoral integrity, the judiciary contributes to a robust democratic system.

The controversy surrounding judicial appointments is not merely a procedural matter but a fundamental constitutional issue. The judiciary’s independence must be preserved to prevent executive overreach, yet the need for transparency and accountability in judicial selections cannot be ignored. While Dhankhar’s concerns about constitutional balance warrant discussion, any reform must prioritize judicial autonomy to uphold the Constitution’s core principles. The ongoing debate reflects the evolving nature of India’s democratic institutions, necessitating careful deliberation to ensure that constitutional governance remains intact. The resolution of this issue will shape the future of judicial-executive relations, influencing India’s democratic trajectory for years to come.

( Author, a seasoned bilingual journalist and Media Educator, is an expert on Jharkhand’s sociopolitical landscape.He can be reached at pandeysanjay945@gmail.com)